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Oliver Buchannon
Turnaround Radar
Oracle: The Cloud and the Concentration

Jun 9, 2026

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13 min read

Oracle: The Cloud and the Concentration

A B2B cloud thesis from a research letter that does not autopilot its verdicts

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $LOW

Jun 4, 2026

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4 min read

Investment Council: $LOW

Four specialists analyzed Lowe's moat, crisis severity, and valuation. Here is the council's verdict.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Lowe's: The Hammer and the House

Jun 4, 2026

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9 min read

Lowe's: The Hammer and the House

The stock is priced for a housing recovery that hasn't started. The customers are priced for a service level that hasn't arrived. The $8.8 billion bet in between is the trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $STZ

Jun 4, 2026

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4 min read

Investment Council: $STZ

Four specialists weigh in on whether Constellation Brands is a buy at trough multiples

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Constellation Brands: The Brand and the Border

Jun 4, 2026

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11 min read

Constellation Brands: The Brand and the Border

Constellation Brands owns the most valuable beer portfolio in America. The border is the only thing standing between the stock and a recovery. The gap between those two facts is the trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $SHOP

Jun 4, 2026

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5 min read

Investment Council: $SHOP

The council voted BUY with medium conviction. Moat intact, crisis perceived-only, valuation reasonable.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Shopify: The Agent and the Merchant

Jun 4, 2026

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12 min read

Shopify: The Agent and the Merchant

Shopify is rated 4.7 stars by the people who build on it and 1.3 stars by the people who buy from it. The 76.8-point gap between those two numbers is the trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $HOOD

Jun 4, 2026

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6 min read

Investment Council: $HOOD

The council voted BUY with medium conviction. Moat intact, crisis real but fixable, management battle-tested, valuation reasonable.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Robinhood: The App and the Vault

Jun 4, 2026

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11 min read

Robinhood: The App and the Vault

The product they built works. The institution they're becoming doesn't trust its own customers. The gap between them is the trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $NOW

Jun 4, 2026

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4 min read

Investment Council: $NOW

The council voted BUY with medium conviction. Moat intact, crisis perceived-only, valuation reasonable.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
ServiceNow: The Agent and the Operating System

Jun 4, 2026

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11 min read

ServiceNow: The Agent and the Operating System

Wall Street says AI agents will kill enterprise software. ServiceNow says it is the operating system those agents run on. At $127, only one can be right.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $WDAY

Jun 3, 2026

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5 min read

Investment Council: $WDAY

The moat is intact. The price is cheap. The council says: not yet.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Workday: The Buyer and the User

Jun 3, 2026

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10 min read

Workday: The Buyer and the User

Workday is rated 4.5 stars by the people who buy it and 1.1 stars by the people who use it. The 83-point gap between those two audiences is the entire trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
DocuSign: The Dotted Line

Jun 3, 2026

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7 min read

DocuSign: The Dotted Line

G2 says 4.5. Trustpilot says 1.4. The stock says $53. Tomorrow's earnings will tell us which rating matters.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $PYPL

Jun 3, 2026

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5 min read

Investment Council: $PYPL

PayPal's moat is eroding. The price is cheap. The council says: not yet.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
PayPal: The Button and the Black Box

Jun 3, 2026

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11 min read

PayPal: The Button and the Black Box

PayPal's checkout button has 4.8 stars. PayPal's customer service has 1.3. The 3.5-point gap between them is the trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $TEAM

Jun 3, 2026

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6 min read

Investment Council: $TEAM

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Atlassian: The Tool and the Trap

Jun 3, 2026

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11 min read

Atlassian: The Tool and the Trap

The most hated software in technology runs 40% of the world's engineering teams. The gap between hatred and dominance is the trade.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $COIN

Jun 3, 2026

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6 min read

Investment Council: $COIN

BUY at MEDIUM conviction — moat intact, crisis perceived-only, valuation reasonable

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Coinbase: The Vault and the Voicemail

Jun 3, 2026

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9 min read

Coinbase: The Vault and the Voicemail

The S&P 500's newest blue chip has an F-rated customer experience. 88% of Trustpilot reviews cluster at the extremes. The vault works. The voicemail doesn't.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $INTU

Jun 3, 2026

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5 min read

Investment Council: $INTU

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Intuit: The $162 Question

Jun 3, 2026

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10 min read

Intuit: The $162 Question

Intuit charges $162 to file your taxes. Goldman Sachs says AI can do it for twelve cents. The question is which number wins.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $ADBE

Jun 3, 2026

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4 min read

Investment Council: $ADBE

STRONG_BUY at HIGH conviction — moat intact, crisis perceived-only, valuation cheap

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Adobe: The Subscription and the Software

Jun 3, 2026

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8 min read

Adobe: The Subscription and the Software

Two ratings. Same company. The stock is down 38% because the market cannot tell them apart.

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
Investment Council: $RCL

Jun 2, 2026

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4 min read

Investment Council: $RCL

BUY at HIGH conviction — moat intact, crisis perceived-only, valuation reasonable

Turnaround Radar
Turnaround Radar
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